The Euro 2024 Golden Boot winner will be one of the most hotly contested betting markets, with dozens of players who could score the most goals in Germany.
So who are the top contenders for the Euro 2024 Golden Boot? And which country or group are they most likely to come from?
Our analysts have crunched the data and delivered their verdict, including the five most likely players to win the Euro 2024 Golden Boot.
How to Find a Euro 2024 Top Goalscorer Bet
When analyzing the Euro 2024 Golden Boot odds from the best online sportsbooks, there’s no need to do a vintage Claudio Ranieri and overthink it – it’s probably going to be a striker or at least an attacking player.
You’ll get bigger odds on defenders, some of whom can score, but the history of top scorers at the Euros is littered with attacking players such as recent winners Cristiano Ronaldo, Antoine Griezmann and David Villa.
Better Team, Better Chance
Not just any striker will do, though. Even the most talented soccer player can’t realistically win the Euro 2024 Golden Boot unless they progress into the knockout stages and survive at least a round or two.
The better your player’s team, the more opportunities they’ll have to score – both in terms of on-pitch service, and number of games played.
Selecting your Euro 2024 Golden Boot winner from a team that you think has a chance of winning it is a smart move. This includes the likes of England, France, Germany, and Portugal, the four pre-tournament favorites.
The Draw Matters
Historically, it only takes a handful of goals to secure the Golden Boot. In the first three tournaments from 1960 to 1968, a mere two goals got you the gold.
While that’s not been replicated since it’s still not much higher: three goals won the Golden Boot in 1980 for Klaus Allofs, with a four-way tie in 1992 and a six-way tie in 2012, all for three goals.
The highest number of goals for a Euro Golden Boot came from Michel Platini’s absurd nine-goal masterclass at France ’84, but that was an anomaly. The next highest is six.
This is why the draw is incredibly important when looking at the Euro 2024 Golden Boot winners. If your team has an easy group on paper, and a straightforward route to the final, their key player may have a chance to score the majority of their goals in the group games.
Portugal falls into this category, as they share a group with Türkiye (also known as Turkey), the Czech Republic, and minnows Georgia, who are making their debut at a major tournament. After that, they’ll likely face Hungary, Croatia, or Serbia in the round of 16 followed by – possibly – the Netherlands.
Who’s in Form?
In the run-up to the Euros or World Cup, there are always several players who turn things up a gear in a bid to force their way into the starting 11 or sharpen their skills for the tournament.
And spotting these players can help you identify Golden Boot candidates at Euro 2024.
Look at the attacking players who had a good run in the final 10 or so matches of the season at club level. Are there any players who have a reputation for playing better for their country?
Likewise, are there any club legends who just can’t replicate that form in the national shirt, and should therefore be avoided?
Consider all of this when honing in on your preferred pick for the Euro 2024 top scorer award at soccer betting sites in the upcoming weeks.
Euro 2024 Golden Boot Odds
Check out the latest Euro 2024 Golden Boot odds below:
| Player | Country | Odds |
| Kylian Mbappé | France | +400 |
| Harry Kane | England | +550 |
| Cristiano Ronaldo | Portugal | +1100 |
| Romelu Lukaku | Belgium | +1200 |
| Kai Havertz | Germany | +2500 |
| Jude Bellingham | England | +3000 |
| Olivier Giroud | France | +3000 |
| Alvaro Morata | Spain | +3000 |
| Antoine Griezmann | France | +5000 |
Odds available at Bovada:
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Even if you barely know how to bet on football, it’ll come as absolutely no surprise to see Mbappé and Kane as the top two favorites for the Euro 2024 Golden Boot award.
On July 1, 2024, Mbappé will depart PSG for Real Madrid after racking up 256 goals and becoming the club’s top scorer of all time.
Meanwhile, although Bayern Munich may not have won the Bundesliga, Kane’s debut season was an individual success as he notched 32 goals in 36 appearances to claim the top goalscorer award in the league. A few back issues towards the end of the season could cause concern for Euro 2024 Golden Boot betting, though.
Aside from their prowess, this also ties into what we discussed about players from the very best teams having a greater chance of winning the Golden Boot at Euro 2024.
It’s a completely open market and any number of players are in with a chance of winning the Euro 2024 Golden Boot. At the age of 39, will Ronaldo start enough games to claim a third Golden Boot at the Euros?
Can Belgium’s “golden generation” muster one last push to give Lukaku a fighting chance? Will Jude Bellingham continue his Champions League-winning form and shine for England?
With so many top contenders and some juicy odds from the best online gambling sites, a closer look is required at some of the players who are most likely to win the Euro 2024 Golden Boot.
Kylian Mbappé
There are few roadblocks between Mbappé and the coveted Golden Boot at Euro 2024.
The 25-year-old Real Madrid player scored 48 goals last season including 12 in the Champions League. He has international pedigree having won the World Cup with France aged just 19, and came within a whisker of doing it again against Argentina.
France is hotly tipped to win Euro 2024 and, if they do, Mbappé will be the driving force behind their goals. But things don’t always go precisely to plan, and his short top goalscorer odds for Euro 2024 may steer some bettors away.
Harry Kane
One of the most consistent and lethal finishers in the game, Harry Kane arrives at Euro 2024 having proven he can do it not only in the Premier League but the Bundesliga too.
In his first season for Bayern Munich, this talented soccer player captured the top goalscorer award, with three hat-tricks and even a hallway line goal. Confidence.
But England have a habit of choking under pressure, and carrying the tag of outright favorites may do them few favors.
This was demonstrated in their pre-tournament 1-0 home loss at Iceland, a team ranked 72nd – just below Jordan and Montenegro. Kane also missed a vital penalty against France at World Cup 2022 and has picked up some back issues recently. Can he – and England – overcome all of this?
Cristiano Ronaldo
Not so long ago it looked all over for Cristiano Ronaldo. Exiled by Manchester United manager Eric Ten Hag, the decorated Portuguese was forced overseas to ply his trade in the Saudi Pro League for Al Nassr.
But it turns out he started a trend, and now plays with some other aging yet top-level athletes. He’s bagged a remarkable 49 goals in 47 games, which shows how seriously he’s taking his time at Al Nassr, and finds himself in the squad for Portugal at Euro 2024.
With a fairly easy group, he could score a bunch in the first few games alone – but will he play every game at the age of 39?
Romelu Lukaku
It seems like Belgium is the dark horse or hot tip for every major tournament and never delivers. Perhaps this is the last chance for a team dubbed the “golden generation”, and Lukaku will be central to that.
Surrounded by players like Devin De Bruyne and Jeremy Doku, he’ll get the service he needs. A group of Slovakia, Romania, and Ukraine presents three beatable teams. Could Lukaku be consistent enough to mount a challenge for the Euro 2024 Golden Boot, or will he frustrate fans?
Olivier Giroud
The former Arsenal and Chelsea striker isn’t one of those players who blasts the competition with 30 goals a season, but he’s a high-quality soccer player with tons of talent, demonstrated by the 12 straight years he’s spent at elite clubs, with the latest being Italy’s AC Milan.
While Giroud may be a hipster pick, the main issue is that he’s in the same team as Mbappé. For that reason alone, it will take a brave person to back the Frenchman to win the top goalscorer award at Euro 2024.
Euro 2024 Golden Boot Long Shots
If you’re looking at the Euro 2024 Golden Boot top goalscorer odds and gravitating towards the long shots, it might not be the worst decision.
In 2012, six players split the Golden Boot with three goals each: Fernando Torres, Alan Dzagoev, Mario Gomez, Mario Mandžukić, Mario Balotelli, and Cristiano Ronaldo. You could’ve cashed in on a hat-trick of Marios, none of whom were outright favorites!
Here are a few players who are available at longer odds but could creep in with a shot at the Euro 2024 Golden Boot.
Phil Foden (+3300)
The current Premier League Player of the Season comes into Euro 2024 on the back of a record-breaking four straight league wins, including a treble-winning season which has only been done once before by Manchester United. If England do go all the way, he’ll play a starring role. But can he outscore his countryman Harry Kane?
Kai Havertz (+2500)
Many players are backing Germany, partly due to their home advantage, thus Kai Havertz could be a contender. The attack-minded player had a rocky start to the 2023/24 campaign but grew into the season and helped his team to come within two points of the almost-unbeatable Manchester City. Will he light up this summer’s tournament for his nation?
Bruno Fernandes (+3500)
We already touched upon Portugal’s favorable draw at Euro 2024, and most fans who are backing them will put their money on the main suspect – Cristiano Ronaldo.
However, there are many reasons he might not play, including his age. If that’s the case, the current Manchester United captain can help fill the void.
He’ll be on set-piece duty and is capable of scoring from range. If Ronaldo’s not on the pitch, he could also step up for spot-kicks.
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You’ve probably noticed the odds for the top goalscorer at Euro 2024 are longer and more diverse than the outright winner odds. That’s because it can be a wild market, as the six joint winners in 2012 proved.
Even the world’s best soccer players can’t win the Golden Boot unsupported, so it’s always a smart move to put your money on players from teams who are likely to go all the way.
There are no certainties when betting on the Euro 2024 Golden Boot, or tournament soccer in general – and that’s part of what makes it such an interesting market.
